Summary

Russia’s autocratization since 1999 has resulted in a diminution of political and electoral competition and the marginalization of regime opponents. Yet, while oppositional contestation has markedly decreased in national elections, regional and local races for a long time offered opportunities for electoral competition. Even if elections are organized in a way to ensure the victory of the incumbent party and candidates, at least before Russia’s full-scale invasion they provided oppositions with regular opportunities to organize and mobilize, which could serve to make the power holders’ political dominance more difficult, or, under certain circumstances, even pave the way for political contestants into a regional or local assembly.

The level of opposition activity and the type of opposition vary across Russia’s regions. Case study evidence from different regions illustrates how three interrelated factors shape opposition activity and success in a subnational context. First, structural conditions highlight the great differences among Russia’s regions and cities as to the openness of local politics to opposition actors, ranging from hegemonic polities with a high level of repression to more competitive units, where media, civil society, and political challengers can operate somewhat more freely. Second, next to the subnational political context, opposition activity is dependent on the choices of individual actors, with strategic coordination and cooperation across opposition forces; and third, the engagement of resourceful and ambitious political entrepreneurs can improve the electoral prospects of political contestants. The text closes with reflections of how the full-scale invasion of 2022 affects the conditions and choices of future opposition actors in Russia.